Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.005680 0.006560 0.007588 0.008895 0.010531 0.012543 0.015253
2025-04-20 0.004654 0.005779 0.007239 0.009331 0.012353 0.016739 0.023967
2025-04-27 0.004040 0.005262 0.006964 0.009622 0.013899 0.021011 0.035080
2025-05-04 0.003550 0.004784 0.006593 0.009608 0.014894 0.024751 0.047831
2025-05-11 0.003186 0.004412 0.006287 0.009585 0.015819 0.028736 0.064547
2025-05-18 0.002862 0.004046 0.005918 0.009356 0.016266 0.031950 0.082881
2025-05-25 0.002565 0.003684 0.005496 0.008936 0.016197 0.033964 0.100351
2025-06-01 0.002339 0.003407 0.005177 0.008644 0.016312 0.036526 0.124270
2025-06-08 0.002219 0.003289 0.005113 0.008827 0.017551 0.042975 0.180552
2025-06-15 0.002076 0.003118 0.004930 0.008735 0.018101 0.047744 0.243836
2025-06-22 0.001909 0.002891 0.004620 0.008320 0.017712 0.049110 0.289398
2025-06-29 0.001781 0.002721 0.004399 0.008066 0.017692 0.051949 0.365750
2025-07-06 0.001698 0.002632 0.004340 0.008208 0.018980 0.061975 0.635921
2025-07-13 0.001647 0.002597 0.004386 0.008613 0.021288 0.080233 1.568070
2025-07-20 0.001586 0.002538 0.004373 0.008874 0.023300 0.101059 4.780969
2025-07-27 0.001507 0.002436 0.004261 0.008861 0.024376 0.118700 16.983773
2025-08-03 0.001435 0.002343 0.004154 0.008841 0.025443 0.139602 171.377711
2025-08-10 0.001355 0.002228 0.003990 0.008636 0.025696 0.154773 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001270 0.002097 0.003777 0.008259 0.025091 0.160498 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001200 0.001991 0.003613 0.007998 0.024911 0.171788 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001166 0.001954 0.003596 0.008162 0.026787 0.218213 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001118 0.001885 0.003502 0.008079 0.027458 0.252084 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001055 0.001783 0.003322 0.007706 0.026509 0.254046 NaN